Jan 19

“It makes no commercial sense to buy this club” says David Sullivan, who now owns, along with David Gold, 50% of West Ham United, an option on the other 50%, and strategic control.

A club in the Premier League, the golden calf of all the football leagues. In a well-connected area of London. With a huge fanbase. With the Olympics coming in 2 years. I’d be licking my lips at the prospect of buying into that, debts or no debts.

Perhaps the football bubble has burst and I have missed it. But from where I sit I see Premier League clubs that seem to be doubling or tripling in value and making their owners fortunes. For example, David Sullivan and David Gold bought Birmingham City for £1 and sold it for £80m.

With Duxbury gone, and Nani under serious threat, it certainly looks like the end of the ‘project’, at least in the form that we knew it up until now. Good riddance, say many. An idiotic decision, in my opinion.

One report lists Sullivan and Gold’s principal targets. Mathieu Flamini, Jo, Yakubu and Benjani.

I could have drawn up that list for free.

The same sort of high-wage high-price targets that Eggert Magnusson brought in at crippling expense to the club. Whether Everton want to part with their second-choice striker, or whether Benjani will be offered another £60k-a-week contract at 31, remains to be seen.

Ok, I am a dreadful old cynic – why can’t I be enthusiastic about the new owners? And in one respect I am – the situation clearly needed sorting out. But the soundbites today and the news coming from within the club fills me with dread – another total change of emphasis, style and direction is the last thing the club needed at this point.

Jan 04

West Ham seem to have a frustrating tendency to do just enough to keep their nose above the waterline, but not enough to drag themselves totally out of the swamp.

Looking at the Wolves fixture next Sunday, a win could conceivably take us up to 12th or 13th and the borders of mid-table. So I’m assuming we will draw or lose the match – to win it just wouldn’t fit with the alignment of the planets this season.

Of course, being logical for a moment, it will surely be likely that having been given a chance to escape the relegation zone, we will at some point take it. It was January last season that totally transformed our season from a relegation scrap into a battle for Europe. It could happen this year.

We need crucial players to be fit, that is certain. Parker is the latest casualty, probably our best performer this season. We desperately need Cole back, if only to free up Franco to play in the hole as he did so successfully earlier in the season. Noble is such a steady performer – we miss his consistency. The only plus I can see in the injury situation is that there is no excuse for tiredness from the players that have been out – we should be getting stronger in the Spring when other teams are tiring.

Rumours persist about possible sales in January. I think it depends where we are at the end of the month. If we’re looking pretty safe, and if Gabbidon is fit, then I would sell Upson for £12m if possible and take the cash while it is available. It’s gambling with the squad, but to the long-term benefit of the club I think. Of course it depends if that offer is available, and if Nani has a cheap replacement in mind.

And if we’re still near the foot of the table on January 31st, then we must hang on to everyone. Upson will lose millions from his market value in the next 6 months, but we’ll have to swallow the loss. I think the club are savvy enough to realise the situation. We need to do enough to remove relegation from the equation – if it means hanging on to players I’m sure the club will do that.

People talk about potential fire-sales at the club, but that has never actually happened – it’s conspiracy theory thinking, and merits no serious contemplation. The only fire-sale in the time I have supported the club was when we were last relegated, and Cole, Johnson and Kanoute were sold to keep us out of administration. The current situation is a cake-walk in comparison.

There simply aren’t any serious problems at the club that a couple of wins couldn’t solve. As long as the finances don’t collapse, and there have been plenty of positive noises on that situation. I think Zola is doing a good job in the circumstances. I think we have good players and a good squad if only it was fit. The strange fixture list and the injuries to key players have really crocked our season so far, and we have to be realistic about that. I still say the future looks brighter than at any time in the last decade.

It’s like one of those days when you get a parking ticket and the freezer breaks. It’s frustrating, and we want to blame the world and their dog for it. But being realistic, we’ll get over it, and fairly quickly.

Dec 16

Must say I’m gutted – we’ve been in the position in both matches this week to get points.

I thought we started the second half brighter than Bolton, and at 1-1 I really thought we would go on to win the game. That’s the most frustrating thing. The crucial goal was such a howler from an experienced player – it’s such a kick in the teeth.

This season, from quite early on, was always going to be about the club holding its nerve until the easy fixtures come along. But the confidence looks so fragile – I don’t know why we should be so nervous, after all there’s no shame losing to Man Utd and our form was pretty decent before then.

I have to say I just don’t agree with the teams that Zola is putting out. I don’t think we’ll get away with Diamanti on the wing – he’ll get found out and he scored playing more centrally in the second half today. He is desperately static though. Franco looks so isolated on his own up front – the team don’t know how to support him. Zola’s 4-5-1 or 4-3-3, although it seems more solid defensively, is really stifling to our forward play – I don’t think I’ve seen it really work for us ever over the last 15 months.

I want to support Zola, and its not his fault he is inexperienced – we all knew that before he came in the first place. But the longer this goes on the more the pressure will build – we will be desperate for some points by the new year, and what worries me is that the team already looks under pressure.

Plus points for me were Kovac, who I think is improving the more he plays. Diamanti’s goal, which was just wonderful play – it shows that if we can get possession in the right areas of the pitch we can create things.

Dec 12

More disappointment today. Another away match that ended up a fairly even affair, but unfortunately ended up in the opposition’s favour.

No excuses for our start to the match – I thought we were dreadful for the first 30 minutes. No fluency whatsoever, and no real idea about how we were going to break down the opposition. I could see that we were trying to tighten things up, and it wasn’t far off working, but I at least expect us to look tidy in possession. Which unfortunately wasn’t the case for much of the match.

The mitigating factor is Brum’s form, which is pretty spectacular. Unbeaten in 7 matches now. They look like a Premiership side no question. They’re on the sort of winning run that we could really do with. Soon.

On the bright side we had 14 shots on goal, and I can’t help feeling that we were a little unlucky. Diamanti had 3 or 4 shots whistle past the post, Dyer made a great run to hit the post, and Franco should really have finished his one-on-one. That said, we need to be doing more than nicking draws.

The thing I’m really concerned is the pressure that these away defeats are going to put on the key home matches. If we lose against Bolton and then Chelsea as well, it really makes Pompey on Boxing Day such a cup final fixture for us that we have to win. We just need a few unexpected points to take the pressure off a little bit.

It’s a period where the club, manager, players and fans have to keep our nerve.

Dec 11

plr_ashtonSo Dean Ashton has retired. Although the announcement doesn’t come from the man himself, so why am I still suspicious about it? Probably because of all the speculation over so many months, and perhaps because I don’t really want to believe it.

I remember Ashton at Crewe. I used to write a ‘top targets’ article every Summer with what I thought was the best players that I’d seen to buy. Ashton was top of my list twice. Pardew once told a fans forum that he’d looked at Ashton but felt he was too slow for the Premiership. A few months later he bought him for £7.25m.

Ashton just had that x-factor as a footballer – sometimes he was absolutely dominant, others he seemed mercurial, but he was always a danger. He was great in the air near the box, but I felt we always overused that feature of his game. I always felt he was best dropping off the front and getting the ball at his feet – he had a lovely calmness and sureness of touch, and he reminded me more of a Sheringham than the classic centre forwards with which he was always compared.

I’ve no doubt he’s probably gone through a few years of absolute mental hell trying to get fit. To go from the verge of becoming an England hero to nowhere must be among the worst forms of personal torture. It’s that anguish that I’m really sorry about.

I sense he’ll be a West Ham hero though, despite his short career at the club. There’s just something magical about describing a player who burned brightly, but whose ability was like a thing of legend even now, something that you got a fleeting glimpse of if you were lucky.

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Dec 07

There’s a lot being made of our defensive woes. And there’s not really much argument there – we are letting in too many goals at the moment. Statistically we are among the worst goal conceders in the Premiership, though on the bright side we are no worse than a gaggle of teams (Hull, Bolton, Blackburn, Burnley, Wolves, Wigan). I personally think our defence will improve, and it certainly can’t get much worse.

But on the bright side we are scoring at a better rate than in any season for a decade or so (I couldn’t be bothered to check further back).

We’ve scored 24 goals in 15 games. 1.6 goals per game.

The best competitor in recent history is the Hartson/Berkovic season when we were destroying teams at the Boleyn. That was 1.47 goals over the season.

I’m not trying to make excuses for a sluggish start to the season. But the goalscoring is a big plus. Particularly as many were criticising the club for not committing more attention to the attack in the Summer.

Looking at the form table might give us hope as well. We’re currently 12th in that, with a DWLDWL pattern. Considering we had a LDLLLD pattern earlier in the season I would say we’ve improved a hell of a lot of late in result terms. The current form (even after a 0-4 defeat at home) would see us sail clear of any relegation trouble were it to continue.

And the elephant in the room has always been the fixtures. We’ve played 7 of the likely top 8 at home, and we have a long run of home games in the new year that give us all the chance we need to push up the table (Pompey, Wolves, Blackburn, Birmingham, Hull, Bolton, Stoke, Sunderland, Wigan).

If you want to be an extreme optimist, you can find a good reason to see this season very much as business as usual. Looking at the actual fixtures played the only glaring missed opportunity is the draw at home to Fulham, and they were 7th last season so maybe that is an insult to them. If we were losing home games to relegation rivals there would be alarm bells. But we simply haven’t had the opportunity yet to really make any big mistakes.

I still feel fairly confident that by February we will be comfortably clear of the relegation fight. Chins up!

Oct 27

man_redknapp

A thread on the WHO made me consider what I think of Redknapp’s time in charge of the club. He was the manager from 1994 to 2001 – a long time as manager.

Evaluating Redknapp’s reign is complicated though. Not least because he hasn’t really appealed as a character since he left the club. It’s far harder to take his cheeky-chappy routine when leaving Southampton in turmoil, or the shady circumstances of going back to Portsmouth, or the police investigations into some of his transfers, and the continuing rumours about his dealings, and his indignance in the media, and the fact that he’s now fluked a superb job at Spurs.

He was at West Ham for the best part of 10 years. Some of them were good, some were pretty bad.

He was in charge during the period when football became massively lucrative and there was an influx of foreign talent. Many teams in the Premiership benefitted in terms of entertainment and the talent coming through their clubs. I remember that we were exciting to watch, but I also remember that Derby had a bunch of exciting players at the time as well. Leicester were entertaining back then. It was a really good time for football.

Some of his signings were inspired, some were awful. Di Canio obviously. Sinclair was pulled from nowhere and turned into an England International player. Boogers, Radicioiu – not so much.

He was clearly good at getting the best out of some players, yet we were always a soft touch away and blew incredibly hot and cold as a side over his time at the club. We often simply wouldn’t turn up at matches, especially away from home – so incredibly inconsistent. We were basically considered a circus act by the media – they loved Redknapp though, and a day wouldn’t go by without a cringeworthy bit of crap from the Redknapp mouth.

Even if you take the misgivings over his dealings, and his actions after leaving the club into account, it’s still not clear what to make of his period in charge. I would say that at the end of it we ended up nowhere as a club, and that’s Redknapp’s biggest negative. 10 years wheeling and dealing and you end up pretty much where you started. Except by the time he left the wage bill was totally out of control, and could have brought the whole club down when we were eventually relegated with Roeder.

Still, it’s a part of our history now, and there’s no doubt that Harry is a huge part of our history now. Yes, a legend I suppose. And I would shake his hand and wish him well as a part of the ‘West Ham family’. With slightly gritted teeth.

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Oct 08

whu_gate

The club’s delayed reports for 2007-2008 make fascinating reading. It paints a fairly clear picture of the mess the club has got itself into over the last few years.

The first key statement is on the Tevez affair.

“It is clear that the original recruitment of Carlos Tevez and Javier Mascherano and the subsequent decision to plead guilty to the charges of breaches of rules, on legal advice, have had extremely damaging financial repercussions for West Ham United.”

Not half. A cost of £31.8m according to these reports, though some of that is creative accounting as that headline figure is to be spread over a number of years. But what’s interesting is that the club are now admitting that a key mistake was pleading guilty to the original FA charge. I always thought that this was the single biggest error – it was read by everybody as an admission of guilt whereas the club admit here that it was taken under legal advice.

Without going over the minutai of the Tevez affair, I have always felt that the club were guilty of little more than a minor technical offence, and that had they fought the charge in the first place the long-term ramifications would never have occured. Easy with hindsight I know, but the acceptance of guilt was essentially a plea-bargain with the FA that has spectacularly backfired, not just financially but in terms of the standing of West Ham in the footballing world. Whoever provided the ‘legal advice’ on that occasion did us no favours.

The next bombshell – our wages in 2007-2008 were £63.3m, having more than doubled in just two years. Estimated to be the 6th highest in the country! This is the true legacy of Eggert Magnusson that I believe I was the first person to write about – satisfying to see it officially documented now in print, because I took some fearsome stick at the time for suggesting that ‘Eggy’ might not be the messiah others believed him to be. The key factor – the crippling purchase of key players on wages that the club were never likely to be able to sustain.

“Poor investment decisions will impact adversely on a club‟s league performance and ultimately its financial results. By way of example, West Ham United purchased three high profile players in 2007/08 at a combined cost of £20m with total annual wages in excess of £12m. Those players made 36 starting appearances between them in the season.”

Take your pick of any three of Bellamy, Ljungberg, Dyer and Parker. There’s an element of hindsight here again – had Dyer and Bellamy stayed fit and shot us into Europe that season nobody would be complaining too much. And there’s no doubt that we paid top dollar for the top prospects available in this country – that is the sort of investment that many fans spent decades begging for. Nobody in their right mind could say hand-on-heart that they’d prefer it if we’d bought Marlon King rather than Craig Bellamy. In short, these were great signings, but unfortunately ones that we could never hope to sustain.

There’s a teaser for the next set of reports to try and allay the worst fears that is interesting…

“Since the year end the club has generated £30.1m in sale proceeds (net of significant realisation costs) and invested a further £18.4m in new players, net proceeds of £11.7m. This programme of player trading has achieved two objectives. Firstly, the size of the paying squad has been reduced from in excess of 30 at the end of the 2007/08 season and secondly a number of high earning but underperforming players have been replaced by players on lower wages but with greater potential.”

There’s the project in a nutshell. Profits in the transfer market, generating a smaller squad, with younger players with more potential. It’s a strategy that I fully support, as you’ll know if you’ve read anything I’ve written over the past two years or more.

Nobody expected this statement to be pretty reading, and it isn’t. It’s basically an attempt to produce a set of reports with all the worst financial news in one punch. The next set of reports will show the club trying to fight its way out of the corner. Critics will use it as a stick to beat the club with, and who can blame them – it makes pretty hideous reading. But the alternative view is that it just shows what a tremendous job the club is doing to keep its nose above water in the circumstances. And debatably even swim against the tide.

Whenever I look at these documents I always have the same emotional response. They remind me that supporting a club doesn’t depend on the financial results. That they would have to board up the stadium to keep us from supporting the club that we, for some strange reason, adore. The finances are, in the end, a sideshow.

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Sep 30

man_nani

There’s an interesting discussion on the Who at the moment about the role of Gianluca Nani. The poster Youngie, who has proved themselves a very clued-up person when it comes to inside information, posted a long explanation of Nani’s role at the club…

Nani’s job;

Identifying players – Our scouting network is 100 times better than what it was under Curbishley or Pardew. For example we can watch any match of any team worth its sort at Chadwell Heath now, very few clubs can do that. We have scouts based all around Europe whereas in the past we used to just send our own scouts.

Developing commercial relations – See the relationship we have Cesena, Ujpest & Brescia for example. In the past we just used to be good mates with people at Bournemouth whereas we now have clear commercial relationships in place. He’s also formed a good relationship with AC Milan allowing us use of their medical facilities which are considered best in the world whilst ours are being redeveloped.

Signing players – Pretty self explanatory but having a sporting director allows him to fly abroad to meet players / clubs / agents. In the past we had to either get the player here for talks or let the manager fly out and miss taking training. Nani is also multilingual so there’s no need for translators.

Tying players down to new contracts – Again pretty self explanatory and it’s one less thing for the manager or CEO to do giving them more time to concentrate on their jobs.

Redeveloping the infrastructure of the club – See the new training ground as an example. Nani oversee a complete redevelopment of these facilities as well as the two foreign academies.

Selling players – Nani acts as a super agent and touts any player we have for sale around Europe. This wasn’t possible before as there just wasn’t enough time for the CEO or manager to do it. He heads discussions now with buying clubs particularly if they’re abroad. He’s also the first point of contact for any agents wishing to offer their player to us and is able to filter out the shit or unrealistic targets before consulting Duxbury & Zola. Likewise buying clubs will contact him as opposed to Duxbury and Nani is able to inform them of the availability of certain players without bothering Duxbury.

A link between the players agents and the CEO / manager – Again pretty self explanatory, something else that allows the manager and CEO to concentrate on their own jobs.

Appointing / identifying personnel – Nani is able to search for new staff and deal with the current staff as required.

There’s more too but they form the basis of his job.

That’s a pretty thorough description of Nani’s role, and that sort of information can only come from very high up within the club. It shows that far from being a hands-off adviser, Nani is at the very heart of everything that Duxbury and Zola are trying to achieve. It is a Director Of Football role with a very hands-on approach – it certainly would seem from that description that he certainly outranks Zola in many of the crucial areas of the running of the squad.

As I’ve written many times before, I think this structure absolutely suits a club like West Ham for one very simple reason. We aren’t big enough to guarantee the loyalty of any manager. If Zola does brilliantly he will be poached. If he does badly he will be sacked. So we need to be absolutely prepared for losing the manager for one reason or another. Nani gives us continuity, and has overhauled many weak areas of the club.

At the moment there are question marks over Nani’s contribution in terms of signings. Many of his signings come from foreign shores and have yet to really contribute on the pitch. Franco, Di Santo, Diamanti and Jimenez. Time well tell on those.

But to criticise Nani’s record on the basis of Savio’s lack of success at the club is absolutely ludicrous. Nani picked up Behrami for what was rumoured to be around £5m, and he is now worth at least £15m and is our best player imo. Ilunga cost £3m but is worth more than double that. These two bargains alone justify what Nani has been doing.

What we will have to measure in the long-term is the contribution of the young players that he has brought in. Players like Daprela, Kurucz, Nouble and others. Nobody in their right mind expects all of these to develop into premiership players, but realistically if only one of Nani’s young signings makes the grade it would justify the whole strategy.

I think the introduction of Nani is the best thing the club has ever done. It has brought us out of the footballing dark ages. If we do succeed as a club, it will be the key moment in our history. That’s how strongly I feel about it.

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Sep 29

It’s so early for a panic, but then again 4 defeats in a row is 4 defeats in a row whichever way you look at it. I thought it would be worth comparing our performances with similar fixtures last season…

Vs Wolves (A)
This season Won 2-0
Last season: No fixture.

Vs Spurs (H)
Last season: Lost 0-2.
This season: Lost 1-2.

Vs Blackburn (A)
Last season: 1-1
This season: 0-0

Vs Wigan (A)
Last Season: Won 1-0
This season: Lost 0-1

Vs Liverpool (H)
Last season: Lost 0-3
This season: Lost 2-3

Vs Man City (A)
Last season: Lost 0-3
This season: Lost 1-3

When you look at it like that, you can make a case for saying that the only difference between the two seasons is that we lost a close game at Wigan rather than winning it. Hardly enough evidence to spark a panic. We scored more goals this year in the same fixtures, and the victory away at Wolves is one of those rare away wins that will show up as one of our best results at the end of the season.

There are lots of mitigating circumstances. The first is injuries, which continue to frustrate any plans we have. The second is the introduction of a bunch of new, foreign players whose first job is simply to get used to their new surroundings and the new league, which is notoriously difficult to settle in. The third is the unsettling off-the-field situation, with new owners being sought from the holding company in charge of West Ham – not an ideal situation by any means.

The fact is that we haven’t been too bad so far. We should have certainly beaten Bolton in the cup in the position we were in. The Spurs, Wigan and Liverpool games were close affairs. We had a legitimate goal disallowed last night, and I thought Lescott committed a red card foul in the opening minutes that wasn’t punished.

The disappointment is only that we haven’t nicked more points in games that you might not expect us to do well in. We all know that occasionally we will beat a better side like Spurs or Man City. This season we haven’t yet, and that puts more pressure on fixtures against more lowly teams… like Fulham on Sunday. If we lose that then the knives will be out. But Fulham are no pushover at all, and look capable once again of outperforming their reputation in the Premier league this season.

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